H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Alligators ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has become less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and very effective cyclone that triggered enormous damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these locations. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy need to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has set off hurricane warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane experts formerly cautioned hurricanes might form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious threats and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy